Almarai net profit down 2% in 9M 2018

07/10/2018 Argaam Exclusive

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Share Price

54.30
2.00 3.82 %

Almarai Co. (ALMARAI)

Almarai Company, one of the largest poultry and dairy producers in the Gulf region, reported a net profit of SAR 1.64 billion in the first nine months of 2018, a 1.8 percent year-on-year (YoY) drop attributed to a decline of 1.7 percent and 0.9 percent in revenues and gross profit respectively. The company also cited higher selling and distribution expenses.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2017 9m 2018 Change‬
Revenues 10,516.80 10,176.65 (3.2 %)
Gross Income 4,248.37 4,064.13 (4.3 %)
Operating Income 2,134.10 2,142.57 0.4 %
Net Income 1,669.40 1,641.21 (1.7 %)
Average Shares 1,000.00 1,000.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.67 1.64 (1.7 %)

Profit for third quarter was SAR 635 million; 4.8 percent lower compared to the net profit of SAR 667 million in the year-ago quarter. On a sequential quarter basis, profit for the period was 4 percent lower, due to the impact of the seasonality factors.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Change‬
Revenues 3,372.92 3,317.36 (1.6 %)
Gross Income 1,516.00 1,399.20 (7.7 %)
Operating Income 834.11 780.43 (6.4 %)
Net Income 667.01 634.96 (4.8 %)
Average Shares 1,000.00 1,000.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.67 0.63 (4.8 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2009 1,326.08 18.5 % 508.25 22.1 % 197.37 21.7 % 0.21
Q2 2009 1,447.12 16.0 % 591.31 14.9 % 287.10 22.0 % 0.30
Q3 2009 1,547.44 11.4 % 697.63 21.8 % 363.43 23.8 % 0.38
Q4 2009 1,548.17 21.4 % 568.61 14.8 % 248.82 13.5 % 0.26
Q1 2010 1,559.49 17.6 % 570.03 12.2 % 234.10 18.6 % 0.23
Q2 2010 1,738.87 20.2 % 701.13 18.6 % 343.06 19.5 % 0.34
Q3 2010 1,833.74 18.5 % 796.45 14.2 % 424.51 16.8 % 0.42
Q4 2010 1,798.82 16.2 % 668.31 17.5 % 283.76 14.0 % 0.28
Q1 2011 1,743.57 11.8 % 634.15 11.2 % 235.25 0.5 % 0.24
Q2 2011 2,012.85 15.8 % 776.81 10.8 % 349.26 1.8 % 0.35
Q3 2011 2,105.28 14.8 % 861.72 8.2 % 429.70 1.2 % 0.43
Q4 2011 2,089.29 16.1 % 723.84 8.3 % 125.31 (55.8 %) 0.13
Q1 2012 2,040.35 17.0 % 707.30 11.5 % 242.12 2.9 % 0.24
Q2 2012 2,524.14 25.4 % 921.72 18.7 % 379.52 8.7 % 0.38
Q3 2012 2,672.99 27.0 % 1,012.19 17.5 % 449.97 4.7 % 0.45
Q4 2012 2,645.52 26.6 % 869.87 20.2 % 369.03 194.5 % 0.37
Q1 2013 2,411.03 18.2 % 827.80 17.0 % 255.09 5.4 % 0.26
Q2 2013 2,873.88 13.9 % 1,034.49 12.2 % 398.23 4.9 % 0.40
Q3 2013 2,926.09 9.5 % 1,104.95 9.2 % 475.62 5.7 % 0.48
Q4 2013 3,008.18 13.7 % 995.50 14.4 % 373.27 1.2 % 0.37
Q1 2014 2,718.92 12.8 % 918.95 11.0 % 273.58 7.2 % 0.27
Q2 2014 3,286.52 14.4 % 1,149.16 11.1 % 433.29 8.8 % 0.43
Q3 2014 3,269.37 11.7 % 1,390.72 25.9 % 539.44 13.4 % 0.54
Q4 2014 3,330.76 10.7 % 1,133.79 13.9 % 428.03 14.7 % 0.43
Q1 2015 3,037.31 11.7 % 1,110.34 20.8 % 306.48 12.0 % 0.31
Q2 2015 3,649.52 11.0 % 1,388.04 20.8 % 530.42 22.4 % 0.53
Q3 2015 3,523.58 7.8 % 1,446.52 4.0 % 595.12 10.3 % 0.60
Q4 2015 3,584.20 7.6 % 1,338.37 18.0 % 483.68 13.0 % 0.48
Q1 2016 3,373.79 11.1 % 1,127.55 1.5 % 288.66 (5.8 %) 0.29
Q2 2016 3,925.89 7.6 % 1,520.89 9.6 % 658.38 24.1 % 0.66
Q3 2016 3,530.34 0.2 % 1,485.41 2.7 % 664.26 11.6 % 0.66
Q4 2016 3,508.56 (2.1 %) 1,388.64 3.8 % 536.49 10.9 % 0.54
Q1 2017 3,383.53 0.3 % 1,177.43 4.4 % 328.27 13.7 % 0.33
Q2 2017 3,760.36 (4.2 %) 1,554.93 2.2 % 674.11 2.4 % 0.67
Q3 2017 3,372.92 (4.5 %) 1,516.00 2.1 % 667.01 0.4 % 0.67
Q4 2017 3,418.73 (2.6 %) 1,335.27 (3.8 %) 512.89 (4.4 %) 0.51
Q1 2018 3,232.21 (4.5 %) 1,254.43 6.5 % 344.87 5.1 % 0.34
Q2 2018 3,672.33 (2.3 %) 1,448.45 (6.8 %) 661.39 (1.9 %) 0.66
Q3 2018 3,317.36 (1.6 %) 1,399.20 (7.7 %) 634.96 (4.8 %) 0.63

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2009 39.93 % 24.95 % 18.05 %
Q2 2009 39.87 % 26.48 % 18.34 %
Q3 2009 40.97 % 24.82 % 19.07 %
Q4 2009 40.31 % 26.70 % 18.69 %
Q1 2010 39.78 % 26.57 % 18.57 %
Q2 2010 39.68 % 25.16 % 18.60 %
Q3 2010 39.46 % 27.32 % 18.72 %
Q4 2010 39.47 % 27.21 % 18.55 %
Q1 2011 39.35 % 26.97 % 18.08 %
Q2 2011 38.92 % 26.49 % 17.50 %
Q3 2011 38.39 % 25.84 % 16.94 %
Q4 2011 37.69 % 25.62 % 16.35 %
Q1 2012 37.22 % 25.26 % 15.84 %
Q2 2012 36.70 % 26.67 % 15.26 %
Q3 2012 36.08 % 26.90 % 14.55 %
Q4 2012 35.53 % 27.71 % 14.58 %
Q1 2013 35.42 % 28.17 % 14.18 %
Q2 2013 35.31 % 27.64 % 13.89 %
Q3 2013 35.34 % 27.93 % 13.80 %
Q4 2013 35.32 % 27.87 % 13.39 %
Q1 2014 35.17 % 27.75 % 13.01 %
Q2 2014 34.91 % 27.35 % 12.86 %
Q3 2014 36.26 % 27.32 % 13.02 %
Q4 2014 36.43 % 27.38 % 13.12 %
Q1 2015 37.02 % 27.31 % 13.21 %
Q2 2015 37.80 % 27.58 % 14.18 %
Q3 2015 37.51 % 27.73 % 14.32 %
Q4 2015 38.30 % 27.91 % 14.61 %
Q1 2016 37.51 % 27.63 % 14.13 %
Q2 2016 37.71 % 28.38 % 14.20 %
Q3 2016 37.96 % 29.09 % 14.50 %
Q4 2016 38.51 % 30.87 % 15.00 %
Q1 2017 38.84 % 31.68 % 15.27 %
Q2 2017 39.53 % 32.67 % 15.56 %
Q3 2017 40.19 % 34.21 % 15.93 %
Q4 2017 40.07 % 34.18 % 15.66 %
Q1 2018 41.07 % 35.75 % 15.95 %
Q2 2018 40.55 % 36.32 % 15.96 %
Q3 2018 39.86 % 36.36 % 15.79 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2009 960.87 0.98 0.98 3.60
Q2 2009 960.87 1.04 1.04 4.04
Q3 2009 960.87 1.11 1.11 4.37
Q4 2009 960.87 1.14 1.14 5.38
Q1 2010 1,000.00 1.13 1.13 5.58
Q2 2010 1,000.00 1.19 1.19 5.37
Q3 2010 1,000.00 1.25 1.25 5.88
Q4 2010 1,000.00 1.29 1.29 6.13
Q1 2011 1,000.00 1.29 1.29 6.40
Q2 2011 1,000.00 1.29 1.29 6.19
Q3 2011 1,000.00 1.30 1.30 6.46
Q4 2011 1,000.00 1.14 1.30 6.72
Q1 2012 1,000.00 1.15 1.31 7.18
Q2 2012 1,000.00 1.18 1.34 6.87
Q3 2012 1,000.00 1.20 1.36 7.26
Q4 2012 1,000.00 1.44 1.44 7.55
Q1 2013 1,000.00 1.45 1.45 7.76
Q2 2013 1,000.00 1.47 1.47 7.66
Q3 2013 1,000.00 1.50 1.50 8.07
Q4 2013 1,000.00 1.50 1.50 8.44
Q1 2014 1,000.00 1.52 1.50 8.76
Q2 2014 1,000.00 1.56 1.53 8.53
Q3 2014 1,000.00 1.62 1.60 8.99
Q4 2014 1,000.00 1.67 1.65 9.19
Q1 2015 1,000.00 1.71 1.71 9.37
Q2 2015 1,000.00 1.80 1.88 9.62
Q3 2015 1,000.00 1.86 1.94 9.99
Q4 2015 1,000.00 1.92 2.01 10.36
Q1 2016 1,000.00 1.90 2.00 10.51
Q2 2016 1,000.00 2.03 2.05 10.42
Q3 2016 1,000.00 2.09 2.09 11.08
Q4 2016 1,000.00 2.15 2.15 11.36
Q1 2017 1,000.00 2.19 2.19 11.01
Q2 2017 1,000.00 2.20 2.21 11.66
Q3 2017 1,000.00 2.21 2.23 12.26
Q4 2017 1,000.00 2.18 2.18 12.78
Q1 2018 1,000.00 2.20 2.20 13.11
Q2 2018 1,000.00 2.19 2.19 12.87
Q3 2018 1,000.00 2.15 2.15 13.39

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2009 18.63 18.63 5.16
Q2 2009 18.00 18.00 4.69
Q3 2009 18.36 18.36 4.73
Q4 2009 17.34 17.34 3.53
Q1 2010 19.60 19.60 3.98
Q2 2010 18.48 18.48 4.09
Q3 2010 18.64 18.64 3.97
Q4 2010 20.03 20.03 4.20
Q1 2011 17.11 17.11 3.44
Q2 2011 16.85 16.85 3.52
Q3 2011 15.27 15.27 3.07
Q4 2011 20.03 17.56 3.40
Q1 2012 23.02 20.20 3.68
Q2 2012 21.89 19.27 3.75
Q3 2012 23.45 20.68 3.87
Q4 2012 17.67 17.67 3.37
Q1 2013 18.55 18.55 3.48
Q2 2013 19.13 19.13 3.68
Q3 2013 21.99 21.99 4.08
Q4 2013 21.02 21.02 3.74
Q1 2014 25.51 25.87 4.43
Q2 2014 27.08 27.45 4.94
Q3 2014 29.93 30.32 5.39
Q4 2014 27.56 27.91 5.02
Q1 2015 30.66 30.66 5.59
Q2 2015 29.98 28.72 5.62
Q3 2015 27.25 26.13 5.07
Q4 2015 24.57 23.36 4.54
Q1 2016 22.12 21.02 3.99
Q2 2016 21.60 21.39 4.20
Q3 2016 20.28 20.33 3.83
Q4 2016 25.51 25.47 4.82
Q1 2017 25.80 25.76 5.13
Q2 2017 35.02 34.97 6.62
Q3 2017 25.87 25.54 4.65
Q4 2017 24.63 24.63 4.20
Q1 2018 25.19 25.19 4.22
Q2 2018 27.63 27.63 4.69
Q3 2018 23.17 23.17 3.73

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period Dairy & Juice Poultry Project Bakeries Productions Others.. Arable and Horticulture
Q1 2009 1,191.73 - 134.35 - -
Q2 2009 1,286.67 - 160.45 - -
Q3 2009 1,394.68 - 152.76 - -
Q4 2009 1,304.66 44.50 170.55 - 28.46
Q1 2010 1,341.86 35.96 178.26 - 3.42
Q2 2010 1,455.52 42.24 216.58 - 24.54
Q3 2010 1,578.11 49.87 202.10 - 3.65
Q4 2010 1,510.39 48.07 224.28 - 16.09
Q1 2011 1,467.84 63.47 211.39 - 0.88
Q2 2011 1,658.98 81.66 249.07 - 23.14
Q3 2011 1,777.55 75.03 228.42 - 24.28
Q4 2011 1,688.44 99.05 277.49 - 24.31
Q1 2012 1,635.68 95.40 293.54 - 15.73
Q2 2012 2,031.54 119.06 324.96 - 48.58
Q3 2012 2,203.10 127.43 302.85 - 39.61
Q4 2012 2,102.29 162.46 369.30 0.08 11.39
Q1 2013 1,901.16 162.12 340.90 6.85 -
Q2 2013 2,209.27 202.71 369.48 92.41 -
Q3 2013 2,354.11 212.94 324.76 34.29 -
Q4 2013 2,371.27 214.56 409.97 12.37 -
Q1 2014 2,125.60 211.10 373.32 8.91 -
Q2 2014 2,547.67 250.35 399.27 89.24 -
Q3 2014 2,603.15 273.64 365.99 26.59 -
Q4 2014 2,625.49 287.67 394.33 23.27 -
Q1 2015 2,353.44 308.98 355.53 19.36 -
Q2 2015 2,869.02 313.95 396.35 70.21 -
Q3 2015 2,756.98 314.83 399.51 52.27 -
Q4 2015 2,761.46 324.49 474.46 23.79 -
Q1 2016 2,577.33 320.83 452.27 23.36 -
Q2 2016 3,054.66 365.77 458.22 47.25 -
Q3 2016 2,722.80 277.65 467.02 62.87 -
Q4 2016 2,606.53 367.26 503.28 31.48 -
Q1 2017 2,494.13 356.37 468.91 64.13 -
Q2 2017 2,920.95 387.41 434.61 17.39 -
Q3 2017 2,570.11 328.31 436.67 37.83 -
Q4 2017 2,525.29 391.54 466.90 35.00 -
Q1 2018 2,356.95 420.64 405.47 49.15 -
Q2 2018 2,752.49 434.66 377.44 62.50 -
Q3 2018 2,405.25 453.37 411.60 47.14 -

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2018 (e) Q3 2018 (a) Change‬
Average 622.00 634.96 2.08 %

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2018 (e) Q3 2018 (a) Change
Al Rajhi Capital 642.00 634.96 (1.1) %
SNB Capital 602.00 634.96 5.5 %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 54,300.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 63,437.56
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,000.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 2.11
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 18.34
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 25.78
P/E (TTM) 25.78
Price/book 2.96
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 6.2
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 11.8

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