Almarai posts 9% profit drop in H1 2019

07/07/2019 Argaam Exclusive

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Share Price

54.30
2.00 3.82 %

Almarai Co. (ALMARAI)

Almarai Co.’s consolidated net profit after zakat and tax declined 8.7 percent year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 918.6 million in the first half of 2019 due to sluggish growth in the fresh dairy and juice market this year.

 

The first half of 2019 net profit was also impacted by a drop in gross profit, higher selling, general and administrative expenses (G&As), and higher financing charges.



Financials (M)

Item 6m 2018 6m 2019 Change‬
Revenues 6,859.29 7,074.08 3.1 %
Gross Income 2,657.64 2,627.89 (1.1 %)
Operating Income 1,354.85 1,285.10 (5.1 %)
Net Income 1,006.25 918.56 (8.7 %)
Average Shares 1,000.00 1,000.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.01 0.92 (8.7 %)

Second-quarter earnings fell 11.9 percent YoY to SAR 582.5 million on higher SG&A, other expenses.

 

Meanwhile, the dairy producer’s Q2 net profit surged 73 percent quarter-on-quarter, driven by seasonal factors— such as Ramadan— which fell in second quarter this year.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q2 2018 Q2 2019 Change‬
Revenues 3,672.33 3,767.42 2.6 %
Gross Income 1,448.45 1,466.22 1.2 %
Operating Income 791.74 780.48 (1.4 %)
Net Income 661.39 582.53 (11.9 %)
Average Shares 1,000.00 1,000.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.66 0.58 (11.9 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2010 1,559.49 17.6 % 570.03 12.2 % 234.10 18.6 % 0.23
Q2 2010 1,738.87 20.2 % 701.13 18.6 % 343.06 19.5 % 0.34
Q3 2010 1,833.74 18.5 % 796.45 14.2 % 424.51 16.8 % 0.42
Q4 2010 1,798.82 16.2 % 668.31 17.5 % 283.76 14.0 % 0.28
Q1 2011 1,743.57 11.8 % 634.15 11.2 % 235.25 0.5 % 0.24
Q2 2011 2,012.85 15.8 % 776.81 10.8 % 349.26 1.8 % 0.35
Q3 2011 2,105.28 14.8 % 861.72 8.2 % 429.70 1.2 % 0.43
Q4 2011 2,089.29 16.1 % 723.84 8.3 % 125.31 (55.8 %) 0.13
Q1 2012 2,040.35 17.0 % 707.30 11.5 % 242.12 2.9 % 0.24
Q2 2012 2,524.14 25.4 % 921.72 18.7 % 379.52 8.7 % 0.38
Q3 2012 2,672.99 27.0 % 1,012.19 17.5 % 449.97 4.7 % 0.45
Q4 2012 2,645.52 26.6 % 869.87 20.2 % 369.03 194.5 % 0.37
Q1 2013 2,411.03 18.2 % 827.80 17.0 % 255.09 5.4 % 0.26
Q2 2013 2,873.88 13.9 % 1,034.49 12.2 % 398.23 4.9 % 0.40
Q3 2013 2,926.09 9.5 % 1,104.95 9.2 % 475.62 5.7 % 0.48
Q4 2013 3,008.18 13.7 % 995.50 14.4 % 373.27 1.2 % 0.37
Q1 2014 2,718.92 12.8 % 918.95 11.0 % 273.58 7.2 % 0.27
Q2 2014 3,286.52 14.4 % 1,149.16 11.1 % 433.29 8.8 % 0.43
Q3 2014 3,269.37 11.7 % 1,390.72 25.9 % 539.44 13.4 % 0.54
Q4 2014 3,330.76 10.7 % 1,133.79 13.9 % 428.03 14.7 % 0.43
Q1 2015 3,037.31 11.7 % 1,110.34 20.8 % 306.48 12.0 % 0.31
Q2 2015 3,649.52 11.0 % 1,388.04 20.8 % 530.42 22.4 % 0.53
Q3 2015 3,523.58 7.8 % 1,446.52 4.0 % 595.12 10.3 % 0.60
Q4 2015 3,584.20 7.6 % 1,338.37 18.0 % 483.68 13.0 % 0.48
Q1 2016 3,373.79 11.1 % 1,127.55 1.5 % 288.66 (5.8 %) 0.29
Q2 2016 3,925.89 7.6 % 1,520.89 9.6 % 658.38 24.1 % 0.66
Q3 2016 3,530.34 0.2 % 1,485.41 2.7 % 664.26 11.6 % 0.66
Q4 2016 3,508.56 (2.1 %) 1,388.64 3.8 % 536.49 10.9 % 0.54
Q1 2017 3,383.53 0.3 % 1,177.43 4.4 % 328.27 13.7 % 0.33
Q2 2017 3,760.36 (4.2 %) 1,554.93 2.2 % 674.11 2.4 % 0.67
Q3 2017 3,372.92 (4.5 %) 1,516.00 2.1 % 667.01 0.4 % 0.67
Q4 2017 3,418.73 (2.6 %) 1,335.27 (3.8 %) 512.89 (4.4 %) 0.51
Q1 2018 3,232.21 (4.5 %) 1,254.43 6.5 % 344.87 5.1 % 0.34
Q2 2018 3,672.33 (2.3 %) 1,448.45 (6.8 %) 661.39 (1.9 %) 0.66
Q3 2018 3,317.36 (1.6 %) 1,399.20 (7.7 %) 634.96 (4.8 %) 0.63
Q4 2018 3,381.18 (1.1 %) 1,262.94 (5.4 %) 370.77 (27.7 %) 0.37
Q1 2019 3,308.89 2.4 % 1,163.91 (7.2 %) 336.03 (2.6 %) 0.34
Q2 2019 3,767.42 2.6 % 1,466.22 1.2 % 582.53 (11.9 %) 0.58

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2010 39.78 % 26.57 % 18.57 %
Q2 2010 39.68 % 25.16 % 18.60 %
Q3 2010 39.46 % 27.32 % 18.72 %
Q4 2010 39.47 % 27.21 % 18.55 %
Q1 2011 39.35 % 26.97 % 18.08 %
Q2 2011 38.92 % 26.49 % 17.50 %
Q3 2011 38.39 % 25.84 % 16.94 %
Q4 2011 37.69 % 25.62 % 16.35 %
Q1 2012 37.22 % 25.26 % 15.84 %
Q2 2012 36.70 % 26.67 % 15.26 %
Q3 2012 36.08 % 26.90 % 14.55 %
Q4 2012 35.53 % 27.71 % 14.58 %
Q1 2013 35.42 % 28.17 % 14.18 %
Q2 2013 35.31 % 27.64 % 13.89 %
Q3 2013 35.34 % 27.93 % 13.80 %
Q4 2013 35.32 % 27.87 % 13.39 %
Q1 2014 35.17 % 27.75 % 13.01 %
Q2 2014 34.91 % 27.35 % 12.86 %
Q3 2014 36.26 % 27.32 % 13.02 %
Q4 2014 36.43 % 27.38 % 13.12 %
Q1 2015 37.02 % 27.31 % 13.21 %
Q2 2015 37.80 % 27.58 % 14.18 %
Q3 2015 37.51 % 27.73 % 14.32 %
Q4 2015 38.30 % 27.91 % 14.61 %
Q1 2016 37.51 % 27.63 % 14.13 %
Q2 2016 37.71 % 28.38 % 14.20 %
Q3 2016 37.96 % 29.09 % 14.50 %
Q4 2016 38.51 % 30.87 % 15.00 %
Q1 2017 38.84 % 31.68 % 15.27 %
Q2 2017 39.53 % 32.67 % 15.56 %
Q3 2017 40.19 % 34.21 % 15.93 %
Q4 2017 40.07 % 34.18 % 15.66 %
Q1 2018 41.07 % 35.75 % 15.95 %
Q2 2018 40.55 % 36.32 % 15.96 %
Q3 2018 39.86 % 36.36 % 15.79 %
Q4 2018 39.44 % 36.05 % 15.53 %
Q1 2019 38.56 % 35.36 % 15.38 %
Q2 2019 38.42 % 34.75 % 14.70 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2010 1,000.00 1.13 1.13 5.58
Q2 2010 1,000.00 1.19 1.19 5.37
Q3 2010 1,000.00 1.25 1.25 5.88
Q4 2010 1,000.00 1.29 1.29 6.13
Q1 2011 1,000.00 1.29 1.29 6.40
Q2 2011 1,000.00 1.29 1.29 6.19
Q3 2011 1,000.00 1.30 1.30 6.46
Q4 2011 1,000.00 1.14 1.30 6.72
Q1 2012 1,000.00 1.15 1.31 7.18
Q2 2012 1,000.00 1.18 1.34 6.87
Q3 2012 1,000.00 1.20 1.36 7.26
Q4 2012 1,000.00 1.44 1.44 7.55
Q1 2013 1,000.00 1.45 1.45 7.76
Q2 2013 1,000.00 1.47 1.47 7.66
Q3 2013 1,000.00 1.50 1.50 8.07
Q4 2013 1,000.00 1.50 1.50 8.44
Q1 2014 1,000.00 1.52 1.50 8.76
Q2 2014 1,000.00 1.56 1.53 8.53
Q3 2014 1,000.00 1.62 1.60 8.99
Q4 2014 1,000.00 1.67 1.65 9.19
Q1 2015 1,000.00 1.71 1.71 9.37
Q2 2015 1,000.00 1.80 1.88 9.62
Q3 2015 1,000.00 1.86 1.94 9.99
Q4 2015 1,000.00 1.92 2.01 10.36
Q1 2016 1,000.00 1.90 2.00 10.51
Q2 2016 1,000.00 2.03 2.05 10.42
Q3 2016 1,000.00 2.09 2.09 11.08
Q4 2016 1,000.00 2.15 2.15 11.36
Q1 2017 1,000.00 2.19 2.19 11.01
Q2 2017 1,000.00 2.20 2.21 11.66
Q3 2017 1,000.00 2.21 2.23 12.26
Q4 2017 1,000.00 2.18 2.18 12.78
Q1 2018 1,000.00 2.20 2.20 13.11
Q2 2018 1,000.00 2.19 2.19 12.87
Q3 2018 1,000.00 2.15 2.15 13.39
Q4 2018 1,000.00 2.01 2.11 13.88
Q1 2019 1,000.00 2.00 2.10 14.24
Q2 2019 1,000.00 1.92 2.02 14.00

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2010 19.60 19.60 3.98
Q2 2010 18.48 18.48 4.09
Q3 2010 18.64 18.64 3.97
Q4 2010 20.03 20.03 4.20
Q1 2011 17.11 17.11 3.44
Q2 2011 16.85 16.85 3.52
Q3 2011 15.27 15.27 3.07
Q4 2011 20.03 17.56 3.40
Q1 2012 23.02 20.20 3.68
Q2 2012 21.89 19.27 3.75
Q3 2012 23.45 20.68 3.87
Q4 2012 17.67 17.67 3.37
Q1 2013 18.55 18.55 3.48
Q2 2013 19.13 19.13 3.68
Q3 2013 21.99 21.99 4.08
Q4 2013 21.02 21.02 3.74
Q1 2014 25.51 25.87 4.43
Q2 2014 27.08 27.45 4.94
Q3 2014 29.93 30.32 5.39
Q4 2014 27.56 27.91 5.02
Q1 2015 30.66 30.66 5.59
Q2 2015 29.98 28.72 5.62
Q3 2015 27.25 26.13 5.07
Q4 2015 24.57 23.36 4.54
Q1 2016 22.12 21.02 3.99
Q2 2016 21.60 21.39 4.20
Q3 2016 20.28 20.33 3.83
Q4 2016 25.51 25.47 4.82
Q1 2017 25.80 25.76 5.13
Q2 2017 35.02 34.97 6.62
Q3 2017 25.87 25.54 4.65
Q4 2017 24.63 24.63 4.20
Q1 2018 25.19 25.19 4.22
Q2 2018 27.63 27.63 4.69
Q3 2018 23.17 23.17 3.73
Q4 2018 23.86 22.72 3.46
Q1 2019 27.46 26.14 3.86
Q2 2019 27.80 26.42 3.82

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period Dairy & Juice Poultry Project Bakeries Productions Others.. Arable and Horticulture
Q1 2010 1,341.86 35.96 178.26 - 3.42
Q2 2010 1,455.52 42.24 216.58 - 24.54
Q3 2010 1,578.11 49.87 202.10 - 3.65
Q4 2010 1,510.39 48.07 224.28 - 16.09
Q1 2011 1,467.84 63.47 211.39 - 0.88
Q2 2011 1,658.98 81.66 249.07 - 23.14
Q3 2011 1,777.55 75.03 228.42 - 24.28
Q4 2011 1,688.44 99.05 277.49 - 24.31
Q1 2012 1,635.68 95.40 293.54 - 15.73
Q2 2012 2,031.54 119.06 324.96 - 48.58
Q3 2012 2,203.10 127.43 302.85 - 39.61
Q4 2012 2,102.29 162.46 369.30 0.08 11.39
Q1 2013 1,901.16 162.12 340.90 6.85 -
Q2 2013 2,209.27 202.71 369.48 92.41 -
Q3 2013 2,354.11 212.94 324.76 34.29 -
Q4 2013 2,371.27 214.56 409.97 12.37 -
Q1 2014 2,125.60 211.10 373.32 8.91 -
Q2 2014 2,547.67 250.35 399.27 89.24 -
Q3 2014 2,603.15 273.64 365.99 26.59 -
Q4 2014 2,625.49 287.67 394.33 23.27 -
Q1 2015 2,353.44 308.98 355.53 19.36 -
Q2 2015 2,869.02 313.95 396.35 70.21 -
Q3 2015 2,756.98 314.83 399.51 52.27 -
Q4 2015 2,761.46 324.49 474.46 23.79 -
Q1 2016 2,577.33 320.83 452.27 23.36 -
Q2 2016 3,054.66 365.77 458.22 47.25 -
Q3 2016 2,722.80 277.65 467.02 62.87 -
Q4 2016 2,606.53 367.26 503.28 31.48 -
Q1 2017 2,494.13 356.37 468.91 64.13 -
Q2 2017 2,920.95 387.41 434.61 17.39 -
Q3 2017 2,570.11 328.31 436.67 37.83 -
Q4 2017 2,525.29 391.54 466.90 35.00 -
Q1 2018 2,356.95 420.64 405.47 49.15 -
Q2 2018 2,752.49 434.66 377.44 62.50 -
Q3 2018 2,405.25 453.37 411.60 47.14 -
Q4 2018 2,404.97 491.69 446.89 37.63 -
Q1 2019 2,333.97 499.50 421.07 54.35 -
Q2 2019 2,782.58 527.14 394.60 60.88 -

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q2 2019 (e) Q2 2019 (a) Change‬
Average 633.98 582.53 (8.1 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q2 2019 (e) Q2 2019 (a) Change
SNB Capital 623.00 582.53 (6.5) %
Al Rajhi Capital 629.00 582.53 (7.4) %
AlJazira Capital 631.90 582.53 (7.8) %
Riyad Capital 652.00 582.53 (10.7) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 54,300.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 63,437.56
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,000.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 2.11
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 18.34
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 25.78
P/E (TTM) 25.78
Price/book 2.96
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 6.2
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 11.8

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